Mini-E application sent in!

I just completed my Mini-E application. This is MiniUSA's trial of an all electric Mini for a lucky 500 people in the NY/NJ area. They ask in the application for my blog URL so if you MiniUSA folks are reading this, I have two words for you: Pick Me!

Combined mileage when riding a motorcycle during the summer

I kept track during 2007 of the number of days where I could've ridden a scooter or motorcycle to/from work. I excluded days when I was on vacation, working at home, needed to do errands, or where the weather report called for rain with chance of precipitation >= 50%. According to these rules, I could've ridden a motorcycle to work 59 times in 2007. With a 26 mile round trip, this translates to 26 * 59 = 1534 miles a year.

I also calculated an estimate of the total number of days I commute to work at Florham Park, 26 miles roundtrip. This estimate took into consideration vacation, days when I went to Middletown or elsewhere and working at home one day a week. According to my calculations, I commuted to Florham Park 177 times. This translates to 177 * 26 = 4602 miles.

Finally, I made a rough estimate of the total number of miles I drive in an average year. This one is hard because it depends so much on how many and what kind of long distance road trips I take. For 2008, for example, a number of college visit road trips make this number larger than average. Anyway, I set this number at 10,000 miles but will recalculate for 2008. What is hard to work into these calculations are the miles near home where I now ride my bike. This mileage is probably pretty small, but the savings are disproportionate because of the poor fuel economy experienced on short trips.

So, commuting accounts for less than 50% of my driving, and of commuting, I could expect to ride a motorcycle a little more than one third of the time. To get my overall fuel economy, for 8400 miles a year, I use my automobile mileage figure of 25 mpg (this may be a little low). For 1600 miles, I use the expected motorcycle mileage of 70 mpg:

8400 @ 25 mpg = 336 gallons
1600 @ 70 mpg = 22.86 gallons

Total gallons: 358.86
Average mpg: 27.87

So, I improve my overall fuel economy by only around 3 mpg, and it's still less than what Ellie gets simply driving a Honda Fit all the time (average above 32 mpg). This means I need to a) find other opportunities to ride a motorcycle or bike, and b) drive a more fuel efficient car whenever possible. I'll have a better estimate of automobile miles in 2008.

Why Your Vote Counts in the Democratic primary on 2/5/2008 in Somerset County

After much sifting through NJ democratic committee documents and calculating vote counts, I think I understand the NJ delegate selection process and have as good a vote count as can be gotten on the web at present (though I'm going to put my librarian friend, Mallary, onto the trail for even better "by delegate district" vote counts). The bottom line is that we may very well have helped Obama get an extra Democratic Convention delegate over Clinton, and, according to the best data I can find, and if I'm right about the county to district allocation, Obama won the race in the ninth delegate district by ***ONE VOTE***. If true, it means we were responsible for Obama getting an extra delegate in the ninth delegate district.

I've double checked my addition - check it out yourself with the explanation below combined with the vote counts at: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2008/by_county/NJ_Page_0205.html?SITE=NJNEWELN&SECTION=POLITICS

So don't let anyone ever tell you that it's not worth the time to cast a vote, even an absentee ballot.

Explanation:
The three of us voted in the ninth NJ delegate district. Like all NJ delegate districts, it is a "paired" district composed of the 16th and 23rd legislative districts. The ninth delegate district is composed of the legislative districts which are composed of Somerset, Hunterdon, and Warren counties though the boundaries may not be exact. NJ allocates delegates on a proportional basis. 70 district delegates are allocated according to the delegate district level vote. 37 delegates are allocated proportionally according to the statewide vote. For the 70 delegates, the ninth district is one of only 10 (of 20 total delegate districts in NJ) that has an odd number of delegates allocated. So, if Obama were to have a majority in the ninth district, he would get two delegates while Clinton would only get one. (http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/NJ-D.phtml).

Unfortunately, the Star Ledger vote counts at the above URL list results by county not by delegate district. According to it, Somerset and Hunterdon counties both have a slim majority for Obama. Warren county went to Clinton by a wider margin. All precincts have reported in for all three counties but I don't know if absentee ballots (like Zooey's) have been counted. However, Somerset and Hunterdon counties have many more voters than Warren so even though Obama's margins were less in Hunterdon and Somerset than Clinton's winning margin in Warren, the overall vote counts are what matter. So, after some calculations, I get that Obama got 28,346 votes in the ninth delegate district while Clinton got 28,345.

Here is the relevant excerpt from the New Jersey Democratic State Committee 2008 Delegate Selection Plan pdf at http://www.nj.gov/oag/elections/2008results/08primary-election/2008-Delegate-Slection-Plan.pdf:

The National Convention delegates
and alternates selected at the district-level shall be allocated in proportion to the percentage of
the primary vote won in that district by each preference, except that preferences falling below a
15% threshold shall not be awarded any delegates or alternates.